Ahead of the US presidential election, polls predicted Democratic candidate Joe Biden would have an edge in the presidential election. The main reason Biden is headed is because U.S. President Donald Trump was supported by three states: Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which won in 2016.
However, despite the fact that Biden is leading the poll in the polls, the possibility of Donald Trump being startled cannot be ruled out. Experts argue that there are hidden factors leading to Trump’s surprise victory.
1) Republican enrollment in major states increased during a period when Democratic volunteers were rarely active.
2) The effectiveness of Republicans’ efforts to suppress voters can affect voting. Democrats are concerned that pro-Trump gangs could force Democrat supporters to stop on Voting Day.
3) Besides, there could be a lot of shy Republican supporters who refused to talk about their preferences in predation.
4) While the majority of the early voters who have already voted support Biden, it is believed that many Republican voters have not yet registered in a state like Florida, where Trump is quickly bridging the gap with Biden.
5) The validity of vote-by-mail is a problem for Democrats as Republicans in a small number of states have succeeded in preventing the counting of vote-by-mail ballots arriving after Election Day.
6) It is also very likely that a large number of vote-by-mail votes will be rejected due to thousands of vote-by-mail votes being rejected in the past. The Pennsylvania Supreme Court recently ruled that votes sent without an appropriate envelope cannot be counted.
7) Increasing enrollment of uncollege-educated white voters, the group that forms Trump’s largest support base, could lead the votes to overturn in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, which are expected to go with Biden.
8) Most importantly, Bidden’s abandonment of knocking on the campaign due to the epidemic may have provided enormous advantages to the traditional field campaigns of Trump supporters.
9) Despite the poll predictions, it is the turnout and counting process that ultimately determines the winner. 27 million votes have already been voted in this election.
Dissolution of public opinion polls: The dismantling of the polls for the electoral 538 votes is as follows. Donald Trump: Definite Opportunity -97, Probability -28, Lean Opportunity -54; Joe Biden: Definite Opportunities-176, Probable Opportunities-36, Lean Opportunities-67, and Undecided: 80.
Polls show that Trump must win in an undecided nation to secure 80 electoral corps, including Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Arizona and Iowa.
As Democrats accelerate fundraising, it is likely to retain control of a total of 435 seats in the House of Representatives (HOR). Currently, Democrats have 233 seats and Republicans have 196 seats.
“According to public opinion polls, the breakup of 435 seats is a Republican: a sure opportunity -127, a potential opportunity -34, a lean opportunity -22, a Democrat: a certain opportunity -168, a possible opportunity -27, a lean opportunity -25, to be determined: 32 “
According to the prediction that 35 of the 100 Senate seats will enter the election, both parties will have the same total number of seats for each 50 seats after the election. Currently, the Democrats have 47 seats and the Republicans have 53 seats.
The electoral process of US presidential elections: US presidents are elected through an indirect voting process. The president is voted into power by the’electors’ of the’election colleges’. The total number of electors in the electoral corps is 538.
Electoral College- 435 seats + 100 Senate seats (50 states * 2) + 3 seats total in Washington, DC = 538. Footnotes may receive a number equal to the number of electoral colleges holding US Congress (HOR + Senate) seats . .
Each political party chooses an electoral’state’ or state panel while selecting a presidential candidate. While choosing Donald Trump as the candidate for the 2020 presidential election, it means that the Republicans have also chosen electoral slate/panels for all states. The Democrats have also declared Biden as a candidate.
In fact, voters vote for the presidential candidate, but in principle they actually vote to elect the electors of their state. During the campaign, electors seek a vote in the name of the presidential candidate and pledge to vote if chosen. When the presidential candidate wins the state by securing the maximum percentage of votes, all electors/panels are elected.
For example, Trump’s victory in Texas in the 2016 election meant that all 38 Republican electors were elected from the state. Likewise, Hillary Clinton’s victory in California in 2016 meant that all (55) Democrats’ electors were elected. This means that the presidential candidate’s victory in the state will help him win all the votes of the electoral corps in the state.
When electors are elected, they gather in each state capital to vote for the presidential candidate who promised to vote, that is, the candidate for each political party. In general, party officials are appointed by each party to vote. Electors are people who are not well known and do not represent legislative power.