New Delhi: According to a government-appointed government-appointed committee, new lockdowns should not be imposed at the district or state level to prevent the spread of Kovid-19 unless there is a potential threat to health care facilities. Required. A committee led by Professor M Vidyasagar of IIT Hyderabad also argued that compliance with all protocols would allow the pandemic to be under control until early next year.
committee of ten mathematical models designed for Kovid-19 conducted a study on “The Kovid-19 Pandemic Progress in India: Diagnosis and Containment Effects”. The committee developed an evidence-based mathematical model for the growth of Kovid-19. The’super model’ at the national level is based on a number of parameters, including the time of closure, alternative closure scenarios, the impact of migrant workers returning home, and the impact of not following safety protocols. The committee said, “By following this protocol all of us can control the epidemic by early February next year and minimize cases of infection by the end of February. We do not yet know about the specific weather for this epidemic. Works (viruses are usually more active in cold environments). ”
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The protocol must be followed
Vidyasagar says, “So we must continue with the current personal safety protocol. Otherwise, the number of cases of infection can increase dramatically. Kovid- 19th place said that, as long as there are no potential threats to health care facilities, “the committee said that the upcoming festival and winter weather has increased vulnerability to infection, but all activities can be resumed if appropriate security protocols are followed.
The committee said the rapid and comprehensive blockade helped prevent the increase in cases and reduce the burden on the system. In its report, the committee said in the report, “Without closure, the epidemic would have had a severe impact on India, and in June the number of cases would have exceeded 14 million.” Had India waited until May to implement the blockade, the number of active cases by June would have reached about 50 lac.
Commission operating in India, based on the interim framework of the analysis conducted on Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, has concluded that labor migration has little effect on the total number of infections in these states. The commission also said India has responded better to the coronavirus than many other countries by applying comprehensive containment with various security protocols such as wearing masks and tracking social distances. The committee recommended that the current personal safety protocol should be fully sustained. Otherwise, the number of cases of infection can increase dramatically.