Over half a million people could die from COVID-19 in the United States by February: study

America faces “a sustained COVID-19 public health challenge during the winter”. (File)


More than 1.5 million people in the United States could die from COVID-19 by the end of February next year, according to a modeling study, but around 130,000 people could be saved if anyone one was wearing a mask.

Estimates from a study by researchers at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in Washington show that with some effective treatment options for COVID-19 and no vaccine yet available, the United States has encountered a “middle ground”. of COVID-19 Public Winter Challenge. “

IHME Director Chris Murray said: “We are growing up through a considerable fall / winter.”

He said the estimates, as well as current actual evidence for rising rates of infection and deaths, suggest there is no basis for adding “the idea that the epidemic is going away”: “ We believe this is not true. “

US President Donald Trump has so far become the main electoral issue for him and Democratic candidate Joe Biden to deal with the coronovirus epidemic that has killed more than 221,000 Americans. Polls have shown Americans are relying more on Biden than Trump to deal with the crisis.

The IHME predicts that large populated states like California, Texas and Florida will face particularly high levels of illness, death and demands on hospital resources.

“We predict that there will be steady growth in various states and nationally and continue to lead to higher levels of daily deaths through the end of December and into January,” Murray said.

The modeling study, which mapped various scenarios and their estimated impact on the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic in the United States, found that wearing universal masks could have a significant impact on the death rate, potentially saving 130,000 lives. Can.

The current use of masks in the United States varies widely. While some states, such as New York, set strict rules for wearing masks, others have no obligation. The issue has become political, with some supporters drawing inspiration from Trump, often seen without a mask, and his usefulness being questioned on several occasions.

“Using the mask is an easy victory for the United States… and can save many lives,” Murray said.

He said that right now in parts of Europe and in some local areas of high transmission in the United States, many American states will need to resume social remediation measures to curb winter growth.

(Except for the title, this story was not edited by NDTV staff and posted from a syndicated feed.)

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