The U.S. is scheduled for elections on November 3rd, and millions of Americans have already voted to elect a new president in the second term of Joe Biden or incumbent Donald Trump.
The stock market provided a key indicator of who would win the most important elections.
The Friday fall of the stock market sends a clear message that President Trump will find it difficult to win his second term as President of the United States.
We can remember that in 2016, the S&P 500 indicator predicted that the incumbent Democrats in the White House would face defeat.
And now the stock market’s’President Predictor’ is signaling that Democratic President Joe Biden will win the election.
Meanwhile, Trump took the lead in the state of Iowa, and Biden took a more comfortable lead than Trump in national polls.
In a poll conducted by Selzer & Co for the Des Moines Register and Mediacom from October 26 to 29, Trump outpaced 48% to 41% for Biden. In the same poll in September, Trump and Biden were tied at 47%.
In a September Iowa poll, Trump and Biden were tied from 47% to 47%.
Iowa voted for President Obama-Biden’s votes in 2008 and 2012, and it should be noted that before supporting Trump in 2016, the Republican leader defeated Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton to become president of the United States.
Most states start voting at 6am EST (4:30pm EST on November 3rd). The first week to start voting is in Vermont at 5am EST (3:30pm EST on November 3rd). Voting closes in New York and North Dakota by 9pm EST (7:30am on November 4th). The first vote closes at 7pm EST (5:30am on Tuesday). The final voting deadline in Alaska at 1:00 AM EST (11:30 AM EST).
(In the opinion of the institution)